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PLTR DD - brain cells required if you are an ape!

PLTR DD - brain cells required if you are an ape!
Hello fellow retards
I know these are difficult times for this sub and it’s almost impossible to post something solid which is not about the current meme stocks.
Instead of jerking to some porn i did some research on PLTR and want to share my DD with you. This might be a longer text for your love dopamine level so maybe you should grab some your Adderall before.
The following text might you give your eyes aids since English isn’t my native language. I will try my best.
Palantir as a Company – the beginnings
PLTR was founded by some people and one of them is Peter Thiel who worked alongside with our holy papa Elon at PayPal. As a payment-service they had concerns about money laundering and founded PLTR to tackle this issue early. The CIA also funded PLTR (they are always funding stuff like this – Siri as example). This actually might be the reason why people think that PLTR is a company which aggregates data and do data analysis for the government….but this is not accurate and not correct at all if you see the big picture. I will explain this point later.
You retard still reading? Nice here some rocket emoji’s to pump your dopamine and keep you happy. 🚀🚀🚀
Let’s start with the DD
First of all my POV is looking for a midterm to long term investment in PLTR. My valuation considers PLTRs current state and predicting from now on for the next few years.

  • 1. The Management
Before I start with the product I rather start with the management. You can sell the nicest thing in the world. I can guarantee you that the product definitely won’t be considered as the nicest thing after a while if you have a shitty management (Intel). With Peter Thiel on the leaderboard we got a competent asshole and CEO is Alex carp (co-founder) Peter Thiel is well known and Alex Karp is one of us. He yolod his heritage into some business and become a chad. Seriously tho, I trust Peter and if Peter holds on Alex since Decades so do I. Peter proved so many times how cunning he is and showed how to pick adapt problems early and create solutions.

  • 2. PLTR Business model/ products
Before we understand how important PLTRs products are we have to understand that we are simpeltons who don’t have any business with PLTRs. We create data. We don’t fuck with it. We creating with using our phones or working in the office. Only a few of us may working with accumulated big data. PLTRs customers’ base isn’t neighbor Joe or Aunt Nancy. The products they offer are not even for midcap companies they are more designed for whole industries and governments. That’s the reason why their products aren’t so tangible for many people.
PLTR basically offers systems to big companies/governments which import their data into these systems. PLTR doesn’t sends workers to the client to collect data and analyse it. They sell platforms. They got 2 Products called “Gotham” and “Foundry” You may think wtf is this guy talking about? Let me explain it in 2 examples:
First example is Syria with Gotham. It was impossible in the country to know who the good guys are and who the bad ones are. I know u muricans only know yourself and the rest of the world is the “rest of the world” for you. But this wasn’t so simple in Syria you had many factions with different intentions and some of them were allies and some of them were enemies. The lack of information or the ability of recognizing and sorting these information’s are crucial in a war. PLTR solved the struggle with creating a map which provided resilient information for the marines so they can operate safely. Civil problems over there could also be fixed.
https://www.mercurynews.com/2016/10/04/palantir-using-big-data-to-solve-big-humanitarian-crises/
Actually what the John Hopkins University does with the covid numbers and the map, is some sort of what PLTR offering with their solutions. There are rumors that the tracking of Covid and the vaccination will be done by PLTR.
In their S1 Form PLTR describes it this way
“Gotham, our first software platform, was constructed for analysts at defense and intelligence agencies. They were hunting for needles not in one, but in thousands of haystacks. And they did not have the software they needed to do their jobs. In Afghanistan and Iraq, soldiers were mapping networks of insurgents and makers of roadside bombs by hand. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, and helps U.S. and allied military personnel find what they are looking for.”
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1321655/000119312520230013/d904406ds1.htm#rom904406_11
The second example is about “Foundry” and it’s directly from the S1 File of PLTR (page 121)
“An Airbus A350, for example, has five million parts and is built by hundreds of teams that are spread across four countries and more than eight factories. Companies routinely struggle to manage let alone make sense of the data involved in large projects. Foundry was built for them. The platform transforms the ways in which organizations interact with information by creating a central operating system for their data.”
Both of these systems solving big issues with less effort. The arms industry as example would took billions for drones and stuff in Syria for the same job. The important fact is that PLTR does not spend so much resources for new clients they only have to provide access and support for their services and the client feeding the “machine” with data.
The key point is to understand that PLTR benefits very huge from economy of scales. This is very important since their costs for additional revenue is basically flat while the profits growing exorbitant with new customers. They offer a software and platforms and not kind of services where they need man power. All they do is working on their platforms and improving it.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-palantir-ipo-breakingviews-idUSKCN26E3I2


  • 3. PLTRs big issue during the last decade
Peter Thiel was a great supporter of Trump and funded his elections campaign. The market thought that when trump wins then PLTR will get all the government (especially military) contracts.
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/10/technology/peter-thiel-bet-donald-trump-wins-big.html
But this didn’t happened. Peter got cucked by the huge authority apparatus in pentagon. These dudes loves bureaucracy and they do it for a good reason. If you retire from your job in pentagon you usually get a high paid luxurious position at Lockheed, Raytheon or Bae Systems to make additional free money for your retirement. Many thousand people working in pentagon just to select and buy stuff for the government. They spending billions of dollars for purchases and then PLTR came around and said like „look guys we can do this job for a few millions instead billions“. Of course the arms industry was pissed and the pentagon boomers helped them out. PLTR got constantly scammed from boomers and didn’t get the contracts. This was also the „swamp „trump was talking about.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-28/inside-palantir-s-war-with-the-u-s-army
https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2017/03/27/palantir-trump-army-military-procurement.html
A fun fact to this matter: Before James Mattis got summoned as the Defense Secretary of the USA he was a general in Afghanistan. He ordered services from PLTR despite the fact the pentagon was against it. But the marines praised PLTRs software and valued it over the trash they used to know from the defense/arms industry.
Processing img 2os8izwwe4h61...
https://www.military.com/defensetech/2013/07/01/special-forces-marines-embrace-palantir-software
Even with a James Mattis as the defense secretary, trump as president and regardless that PLTR does it better and cheaper than the arms industry, it wasn’t possible for PLTR to get the government contracts.
https://www.politico.com/story/2017/06/11/palantir-defense-jim-mattis-inner-circle-239373
https://fortune.com/longform/palantir-pentagon-trump/
How it’s ended? Well Peter’s wife doesn’t have a boyfriend because Peter is the fucking boyfriend of their wifes. All ended at the court and PLTR won. All this injustice ended at the court. The judgements on these cases are true circuit breakers for PLTR. Not only because PLTR spent shit tons of money for law suits. The lawsuits were perfect uppercut hits on the arms industry and they ended some fraudulent behaviors and „best practices „in the government
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2016/10/31/judge-rules-in-favor-of-palantir-in-lawsuit-against-us-army/
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2019/03/29/palantir-who-successfully-sued-the-army-just-won-a-major-army-contract/
PLTR will profit from a Biden who wants to decrease the military expenditures. They will get the job done and at the same time the costs will go down. With the recent judgements the door looks open.

  • 4. Valuation problems
I could spam some multiplication on revenue or even a DCF but I think it’s not necessary. Expect the costs of research and development (maybe marketing) the costs of PLTR stood mostly flat in the last quarters. It’s a growth stock and the pricing is mostly in the perspective of PLTR. This is actually all we need to know that the revenue increases while the costs staying mostly flat. Check out the balance sheets at page 12 on the S Form 1.
Let’s talk about the market. The whole market seems overpriced but it isn’t tbh. Due to the low cost of capital there is no alternative than to throwing your money on stocks or on real estate. There is nothing with a solid interest rate around (not even in emerging markets). At the stock exchange like in 70s, the companies had to offer a return, a perspective which should be more attractive as putting your money on a saving account with 8% interests without risks. These times are gone since the 2000s. So before people discuss insane valuation they should check out the fiscal and economical policies.
Now back to PLTR and why the price is difficult to set (cheap imo). First of all PLTR did a direct listing without an investment bank for their share offerings. Its lacking of the valuation which they usually would get through such a process.
PLTR wanted to do IPO with Morgan Stanley but it was mess.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-04/morgan-stanley-s-long-romance-of-palantir-pays-off-as-ipo-nears
Morgan Stanley proved themselves many times as stubborn communists when it comes to valuations. I mean you guys remember their disgusting price targets for tesla like 100$ post split or stuff like that.
These guys are very focused on numbers and I know it’s difficult to price in the potential and perspectives. But you can’t ignore these things for a fundamental valuation. If you want to consider these things in the price you have to understand the business of the company.
This ended that one team at Morgan Stanley valuated PLTR with 5 billion while another team thought they worth 40 billion.
https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2018/11/14/palantir-ipo-valuation-morgan-stanley.html
How is this difference possible and why is this happening? Because people don’t understand what they are valuating. This happened a lot in the last decade because the decision makers in these banks and many analyst don’t have any idea which metrics they should use on companies like that. They are using the metrics from classical industries on new business. They freaked out when Facebook was valued with 100 billion as IPO. Same with Twitter and in the last years it was Tesla. They said apple going to tank every damn year in the last decade. I honor Warren Buffet so much since he has the dignity to realize that he don’t understands something but at the same time he sees the potential and the trend. That’s why he hired 2 Chads who bought Snowflake for him. The transformation and the generation change didn’t happened yet. That’s why they try to use the metrics from Caterpillar on Tesla.
Guys the whole market is mooning with the cheap liquidity. Pennystocks and zombie companies transforming into billion dollar market cap companies. Facebook as IPO had a market cap of 104 billion back in 2012. At that time it wasn’t possible for Facebook to monetize their users with selling ads. They just paid 100 billion for the potential in more difficult market conditions.
Look at the IPOs like doordash, Bumble. I’m not going to call this a bubble. Just check out their business cases and use the metrics. Maybe its easier for people to understand Bumble and Doordash…
On page 12 of the S1 (balance sheet) Form you can already see the huge positive trends in PLTRs revenue and their costs. All this without all the positive events and contracts PLTR recently got.
PLTRs valuation is difficult and I think it’s miscalculated by pessimistic communist who don’t understand that their products are game changers for industries, governments and defense forces. Because of these points I think there is huge price potential for PLTR

  • 5. Risks for PLTR
Despite the general market risks PLTR mentions at page 29 of the S1 Form the competitors as the main risk: “We face intense competition in our markets, and we may lack sufficient financial or other resources to maintain or improve our competitive position.” The S1 Form didn’t aged well. Actually I don’t think that PLTR would have any trouble with offering new shares. Also with Peter Thiel as one of the founders the financial side should be stable.
As PLTR competitor people use to mention IBM. The boomers from IBM already surrendered with their Windows95 computers and decided to cooperate. The biggest threat would be big tech with big money like AMZN or APPL. You all now the stories about APPL and Spotify or AMZN and all the merchants. Even if the big players would step into PLTR markets it would be difficult for them since PLTRs products doesn’t rely on an Amazon store or on apple devices. PLTR is years ahead with their products.
I think the greatest risk (still) are the boomerish arms industry and all the boomers in pentagon and other authorities.
There are very corrupt infrastructures when it comes to decision making and assigning contracts. People fear changes but they can’t avoid the changes. With the recent judgements we can see a turn on the tables but the transformation will still take time. It’s a circuit breaker with an avalanche effect.
The risk factors on page 16 on the S1 form mostly aren’t relevant anymore. People complained that PLTR wasn’t profitable for 18 years. Well PLTR was never designed to be profitable and Alex Karp once said “love us or leave us alone”.
https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2020/09/09/palantir-ceo-makes-livestreamed-pitch-to-investors.html
But even this changed recently. PLTR became profitable in 2020 with 130,000,000§. Now the same people complaining about how high the stock price compared to the profits. Well just you wait.

  • 6. Conclusion and Outlook
If you still reading I have to admit that this was a lot text and i am sorry again about the lingo. Let’s connect the dots and bring this information to a point
  1. The boomer coalition in the pentagon and in the arms industry is taken down by PLTR. They will able to get the governments contracts and the classic arms/defense industry is no match for PLTR products. The judgements of lawsuits were catalyst and the effects should be already shown in the next earnings. These were such underrated events but I think there still will be some odds but PLTRs situation is much better as it was a time ago. The chains are off!
  2. Military expenditures rising worldwide

https://preview.redd.it/qqcv8vzee4h61.jpg?width=744&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=98d264f091b7ff80926038660f43c57b87fc8ef2
https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2020/global-military-expenditure-sees-largest-annual-increase-decade-says-sipri-reaching-1917-billion
With Bidens presidency we will see more disruptive technologies chosen by the government. Biden want to reduce the military expenditures. PLTR is able to provide better service for lower cost. Not only the recent judgements also the political change will help PLTR. Ironic if you remember that Peter supported Trump and getting his tendies from Biden.
  1. PLTR superior products profits hugely from economy of scales. They don’t have any significant costs when they acquire new customers. Making the big data usable for decisions making is already very important and step by step people realize that this issue growing fast. We creating everyday more data than we did yesterday and leaving the majority of it as trace and unstructured data. We don’t work with it but big Institutions does.
Here is the passage from the S1 and I fully agree with it:
“The systemic failures of government institutions to provide for the public — fractured healthcare systems, erosions of data privacy, strained criminal justice systems, and outmoded ways of fighting wars — will continue to require both the public and private sectors to transform themselves. We believe that the underperformance and loss of legitimacy of many of these institutions will only increase the speed with which they are required to change.”
  1. PLTRs value. The current situation of the market with tons of liquidity seems like a bubble. People don’t know what to do with the cheap capital and people throwing it even on meme pennystocks.
Facebook had his ipo back in 2012 during much harder market conditions as now. The valuation of Facebook was over 100 billion and people called it insanely overvalued. They did it because Facebook didn’t had a way to monetize their users (especially on mobile platforms). Facebook has a market cap of over 750 billion now and nobody calling it over valued.
A remember the recent examples? Bumble?! Bruuuh. Don’t get me wrong if you invested in Bumble but they have nothing special to offer and their business case can easily copied or improved by others. Its shows the current state of our market with the crazy liquidity that even zombie companies got astronomic valuations. Use these metrics on PLTR with great products, great management, low cost base and less odds as ever before….
PLTR price is wrong imo especially in this market and with PLTRs current state and perspective.
  1. Do you use PLTR? Me Neither! It’s not designed for us and we have to inform us about the success. PLTRs new contracts and their future are shining bright. With the settled lawsuits the sky is clear for PLTR. But their customer base is not only America. I’m not a murican and 3 weeks before I just find out that the police departments in our state using PLTR products. I don’t need to link endless evidences here since you can google it by yourself and see how many contracts PLTR recently got. Especially after the circuit breakers we talked about.
I have genuinely trust into Peter Thiel and Alex Karp that their will make the best of PLTRs potential. The odds getting removed and the demand for PLTR is increasing.
If all these information would priced in correctly we would have a share price of at least 60-70$. With upcoming and ongoing positive events PLTR share price should soar more..
What’s next?
Now we have earnings ahead and the lock up period ending.
For the earnings I think the number will be fine and keep up the positive trend on revenue with a disproportionately trend of the costs. The most important part will be guidance for 2021. We should listen closely and see if the magic is already happening.
The second event is the ending of the lock up period. You all remember the end of the lock up period of Nikola? Just 1-2 days after they announced they don’t got the GM deal? The stock tanked – for a good reason. You know the guy Trevor Milton.
But in PLTRs case everything is different. Despite the successful deals they got, does a guy who says “love us or leave us alone” sounds like someone who going to drop his shares at the first possibility? I don’t expect such a behavior from Alex Karp and neither from Peter Thiel. If some employees drop their shares it should be fine.
I would appreciate if the stock prices would go below 3ß. It would create a healthy bullish chart pattern and would be actually a nice discount to get in or stock up. I don’t think that the shares going to dump a lot because of this event. The earnings and the guidance are more important and the key events if you want to invest mid – long term.
What does all this means for you? Nothing! Please don’t do any market activity based on my DD. I’m just sharing my knowledge and looking for critics so I can reevaluate my theses. This is not a financial advice.
My hearts bleeding for all the GME holders. My last Reddit account got banned because I criticized “the pumpers”. In one of the comments I called the mods gay and got banned permanently (bye bye 20 k karma). If you are new to this please don’t do any decision based on this so I can sleep gladly.
I’m not well positioned and not trying to pump this stock. I have 70 shares and a CSP. Fair play and fuck all the bots and pump and dumper we recently got in the sub!
Leave an upvote if this post helped you. I need some more karma to be able to shitpost everywhere again!
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Sexy Space Babes: Chapter Twenty One

AN: I'm back from my seven day ban (Which was entirely justified).
To those that don't know, after I posted the story up on Amazon, I was informed that Kindle Unlimited requires that the story be posted nowhere else. I had assumed that applied only to selling via other publishers, not the free novel.
That was not the case. Hence my rapidly pulling down the story from everywhere in a panic, lest I get my amazon account banned, and my dream of authorhood killed in the cradle.
That was not why I recieved a ban from HFY for seven days. I recieved the ban, because as I pulled the story, I left the Amazon link up. That was a violation of rule seven of the subreddit, which says that any link must be accompanied by 350 words of OC content. A rule I broke nineteen times in ten minutes.
Either way, that is behind us now, and I've put my time to good use setting up a patreon and building up a backlog of chapters.
So without further ado, here's book two, which will be posted up until such time that the book is published, at which point it will be pulled like book one to conform with Amazon, and we will start again with book three.
I'm also sitting at number ten on Space Fleet Sci-Fi right now on the top one hundred list, so I just wanted to thank everyone that bought a copy or left a review.
You guys rock!

“Alright ladies, shut up and sit down,” Tisi called over the hubbub of conversation.
To be honest, it was kind of ridiculous that she needed to ask at all, given that she was the captain, and thus the crew should have been jumping up to salute her with obedient silence the moment she entered the ship’s small cafeteria/lounge area. Unfortunately for her, captaining a tiny picket ship like the Whisker didn’t carry that kind of prestige.
More to the point, it was difficult to maintain any kind of professional distance when you were in tight confines with the same group of seven people for weeks at a time.
Fortunately, the group of layabouts she was saddled with were still obedient enough. While they weren’t quite as prompt as she might have liked, the conversation did fall away, allowing her to speak.
“Glider, Rocket, you hearing me up there?” She asked.
“Loud and clear, captain.” The ship’s intercom squawked overhead.
“Good,” she nodded.
Between those two on the bridge and the five before her, the entire crew was present.
“As I’m sure you’ve all already heard, we’ll be getting a replacement for Batna when we next pull into port.”
All around her she saw people nod, though the one who did so most vigorously was Kernathu. Which wasn’t all that surprising given that the poor girl had been running double duty to compensate for the missing member of their complement. To be honest, it was kind of ridiculous that the Whisker had launched at all without a full crew, but then again, she supposed that was just a natural consequence of being posted to Gurathu. It was about as backwater a posting as one could get without literally manning a weather station on an ocean world.
“Please tell me it’s not another Rakiri,” Someone groused from the back. “It’s already bad enough that I’m picking Yaro’s hair out of the drain every other night.”
To her left, the crew’s sole Rakiri crewmate just chuffed in amusement, the furry bipedal woman more amused than offended by the insinuation.
“Forget a Rakiri, I’d kill for another Halkem,” Scales muttered, the aristocratic grey skinned woman running a hand over the eponymous black scales that ran run up and down her forearms. “A lower caste of course. It’s been forever since my scales received a proper buffing.”
“I offered to help,” her fellow marine offered.
Scales gave the muscular Shil’vati sitting next to her a cool-eyed glance. “Yes, and you nearly de-scaled me in the process.”
Assisse just shrugged, as if to say ‘at least I tried’. Tisi coughed, before Scales could respond and allow the crew’s odd couple to get into yet another argument.
“Well, before I have to listen to anymore suggestions as to what you do and don’t want in the latest member of our security contingent, how about I just tell you?”
The crew fell dutifully silent.
Sighing, Tisi continued. “They won’t be a Rakiri, Halkem or even a Shil’vati. We’re getting a Human.”
She’d been expecting it, but it was still kind of surprising how still everyone went. You could have heard a pin drop in the ensuing silence. Even Cerilla looked a little interested. Then the questions came all at once. Tisi didn’t even try to decipher the deluge of blurted words from about half the crew. Instead, she slammed a fist onto a nearby table.
“Quiet,” she hissed, silencing them all instantly as she scowled.
Sighing, she collected herself. As her eyes roamed over the room, she noted with some contentment that most of the crew looked at least a little sheepish about their outburst.
As they should, she thought.
For all that their circumstances allowed for a little laxity in military protocol, this was still a military ship and she was still the captain. They were all well-behaved enough on-planet, but sometimes when they were out in space all of them needed a reminder of what she represented.
She was the captain. Her word was law, and all of them were expected to give her rank the respect it deserved. Content to let the matter lie now that they’d all been reminded of that fact, she continued.
“Yes, they are male.” She answered, figuring it was best to get it over with.
It was fortunate for her that she’d just reminded them all to behave with some decorum, because she had a feeling that if she hadn’t, she’d be listening to them all whooping and jeering right now. Kernathu in particular looked about to explode from joy, and even Cerilla looked interested despite her self-proclaimed disinterest in men.
Of course, there’s disinterest and then there’s disinterest, Tisi thought.
Lots of girls liked to get into relationships devoid of males, but few enough would pass up an opportunity to ‘try one’ if it came up. It was a rare one that abstained entirely.
Of course, from every indication she’d seen, Tisi was pretty sure that Cerilla was one of those rare women. Her gut instinct was that the chief medical officer’s current interest was entirely professional rather than romantic or sexual.
The same could not be said for the rest of her crew however.
“Alright, all of you get your heads out of the gutters,” the captain instructed, before the – thus far – silent excitement could reach a fever pitch.
Not that she could particularly blame them. Even out on a backwater like Gurathu, where weeks could pass between messenger ship circuits, they’d all heard about the Imperium’s latest acquisition.
Tisi was pretty sure that half of it was Turox shit, but then again, even if only a fraction of what she’d heard about the humans was true… well, she could understand what all the hype was about.
Not that she intended to do anything about it when their newest crewmate arrived. She knew some captains liked to play that part of the noble in the parlor, but Tisi was better than that. Her only relationship with the newcomer would be professional.
…well, unless he offered. She had standards, but she wasn’t dead after all.
Snapping her mind away from that line of thought, she fixed the motley crew in front of her with a stern eye.
“Now I don’t need to remind you – but I will anyway,” she began. “We’re an Imperial Naval Vessel. That means you are expected to treat our newest crewmate the same way you treat anyone else.”
She’d gotten a very sternly worded memo with pretty much those exact same words in addition to her newest crewmate’s dossier.
“The last thing the navy wants is another scandal like the Iron Tooth,” she said, which served to put a significant damper on the party-like atmosphere that had been developing.
Which it should. The Iron Tooth incident had been a black mark on the reputation of the navy as a whole, and while those women were now all in military prison, the effect of the scandal on male recruitment rates was still being felt two years later. Still, at least it had brought a number of new rules and regulations into being for active-duty ships.
She knew some members of the military chafed under them, but to her thinking they were just good sense.
“We aren’t a band of Periphery pirates,” Tisi said, echoing her own thoughts. “We’re here to do a job, not just indulge our own whims.”
The crew as a whole nodded, even Assisse, prompting Tisi to smile with pride. Her crew might not have been the most disciplined bunch in this part of the galaxy, but when push came to shove, they were all good people.
-----------------------
Shil’vati, as a race, were predisposed to high temperature conditions. Many of their earliest civilizations had cropped up around the tropical climates of Shil’s equator.
Unfortunately for Assisse, Gurathu was anything but warm.
It was a frigid ice ball of a world, filled with mountains so large it made the ones back home look like a kid’s sandcastle by comparison. Sure, the main-colony had been set up in a valley between two of those mountains, keeping it more or less sheltered from the frigid winds of world, but that didn’t make the freezing temperature any less oppressive to her senses as she and the Captain stepped out of their car and onto the busy streets just outside the space port.
“Ma’am, why am I here?” Asisse asked, as she locked the vehicle and the two started making their way toward the nearby building. A task made marginally harder by the crowds of furry Rakiri colonists that made up an overwhelming majority of Gurathu’s population.
Just last week the space port had been a ghost town. Today that wasn’t the case though. With a large cargo ship coming in, the place had filled up with natives hoping to load up or receive things.
“Upset that I’m taking you away from your away time with Scales, sergeant?” the Captain teased as they strode past two brown coated furry aliens arguing loudly with a tired looking Shil’vati customs officer.
If they were still in space Assisse would have rolled her eyes at her superior’s comment. They were on-planet though, so she refrained, keeping her features studiously neutral. That was part of the strange dichotomy the crew of the Whisker shared.
It was an old joke anyway. For all that the crew liked to joke that the pair of them bickered like two rival wives in a marriage unit, they weren’t together. They were just friends. Which ironically was less than a lot of girls in the services were.
While the reputation for girls ‘enjoying each other’s company’ while out on deployment was a pretty gross exaggeration, it was a stereotype that held some truth. Assisse and Scales had never done anything of the sort though. They were just friends who liked to bicker.
“Not at all, ma’am,” Assisse drawled dutifully.
Tisi hummed thoughtfully as they flashed their credentials at the Shil’vati militia guarding the terminal entrance to the new arrival.
“I assumed that as the leader of our little Marine contingent, you’d be interested in seeing our newest arrival first hand.”
Assisse shrugged. She wasn’t too bothered to be honest. Whether she saw him today or a week from now, when the Whisker set off for patrol again, didn’t really matter. It wasn’t like she could send him back if she didn’t like him for whatever reason. Ignoring the fact that she was pretty sure the crew would mutiny if they didn’t get the human, it would be weeks before the next message ship came through, and they would be out on patrol before that happened.
“Apparently our newest addition is some kind of tactical savant,” the Captain continued, ignorant of her thoughts. “Managed to take on an entire company of Interior elites with just two other recruits during a training exercise.”
“…How?” Assisse asked skeptically. On a purely practical level, she was pretty sure three recruits didn’t have enough ammo to gun down that many of the opposition.
Tisi shrugged. “That, my dossier didn’t say. Probably some kind of guerilla thing. You’ve heard how humans are.”
Assisse nodded warily. Everyone had heard the stories about the latest race to be added to the Imperial fold. Specifically, the fact that they had a fifty/fifty gender ratio and that the males were just as randy as women.
That wasn’t what Tisi was referring to. Earth wasn’t all that dangerous. Ignoring the myriad other advantages the Imperium held over the native population, the fact was that most of the native’s weapons couldn’t penetrate through Shil’vati armor. That made being out on patrol a whole lot less of a daunting prospect.
That didn’t mean it was totally without risk. What the aliens apparently lacked in weapons acumen, they surely made up for in tenacity and creativity. The number of homemade ‘rail-guns’ that had been popping up in recent weeks was proof enough of that.
Crude, sparse and slow to fire as those weapons were, they’d destroyed the assurance of many a patrolwoman that their armor was proof against anything the natives could throw at them.
The place was still considered a pretty sweet posting compared to the likes of the Periphery - practically a vacation, even - but it seemed that with each passing month the number of injuries and casualties amongst the occupation force grew rather than diminished. Which was the opposite of what was supposed to happen.
The numbers were beyond middling to the Imperium, but it was still a worrying trend.
“Here we are,” Tisi said as they passed through another checkpoint and back out onto the recently swept open tarmac of the landing pad.
Personally, Assisse would have preferred to stay in the heated building and watch through the viewing port, but she knew better than to voice that opinion. That they’d be standing outside waiting for the ship to arrive had been a foregone conclusion anyway. As her slightly blue snow-tanned complexion could attest, the captain liked to take every opportunity she could to be out in the open air while they were on planet. It was almost as if she was compensating for all the time they spent in the cramped confines of the ship.
Well, that wasn’t strictly fair. The Whisker was actually pretty spacious for a picket ship, with a fairly large number of amenities for its small size. Of course, all the amenities in the world couldn’t distract from the fact that it was a limited area, and that the crew spent weeks, and occasionally months, stuck there.
So, she supposed she could forgive the captain’s need to stand out in the freezing Gurathu air. Even if Assisse was pretty sure the tips of her ears were beginning to form icicles.
“Anything else I should know, ma’am?” she asked as they peered out into the great blue sky above.
“He’s a boot.”
Assisse glanced at the woman next to her. “I figured as much, ma’am. Being human and all.”
Tisi determinedly kept her eyes on the sky. “No sergeant, I meant basic boot.”
That made the marine pause.
“No vocational, ma’am?” She asked slowly.
“No.”
Now Assisse was fully staring at her superior. “With all due respect ma’am, what the hell?”
Basic training was called that for a reason. It instilled all the basics that any member of the military might need.
That was the key word in that statement: Basics.
Vocational training was where actual skills were developed. Engineers, chefs, medics, hell, even your average riflewoman needed more advanced training to truly be considered competent in their chosen role.
Advanced unit tactics, sweeping and clearing, how to call in orbital support, jump-pack operation…
The list went on and on. All skills that were needed for a team to be able to function correctly during an operation.
Empress, it only got worse on a small picket ship like the Whisker. The ship’s small complement meant most members had multiple roles. Assisse herself was entirely capable of filling in as a medical assistant should it be required, and Scales was an assistant chef.
“I was lead to understand – as was the rest of the crew – that our newest member would be filling in for Bant,” she gritted out, not needing to state that Kernathu would be devastated. The young mechanic was running herself ragged keeping the ship running without aid. The rest of the crew tried to pitch in where they could, but they just didn’t have the skills to be truly useful.
The captain frowned, no doubt thinking the same thing. “I don’t like it much either.” She allowed. “Orders are orders though. Between us, it’s obvious that something funny is going on here.”
Assisse scowled. She knew exactly what that meant.
Politics.
The word felt foul on her tongue. She’d thought having a posting on the ass end of nowhere would get her away from all the politicking of back home. She supposed it just went to show that wherever the Imperium went, politics followed. The nobility were pathologically incapable of keeping their noses out of anything.
The captain being the notable exception of course. She was a fine no-nonsense leader, but even she had her moments where that ingrained aristocratic instinct kicked in.
Though it was unfair, Assise couldn’t help but wonder if this was one of those occasions. If the captain was accepting this human as part of some plot back home.
“It’s not all bad,” the woman continued, completely ignorant to the Sergeant’s thoughts. “Apparently he was going to university on his homeworld. Part of the uplift program to familiarize the humans with our tech so that they can finally start contributing.”
She paused. “He was only part way through the course before he, uh, signed up, but that should give him enough of a foundation to be of use. I’m sure Kernathu will get some use out of him.”
Assisse privately doubted that. Still, it wasn’t her department. Her only concern was how decent he’d be in a firefight. Not that she expected to be in one, but that was neither here nor there. Searching merchant ships for contraband was already tedious enough without worrying if one of her underlings was going to shoot his foot off.
“There it is,” Tisi pointed.
Assisse glanced up, and sure enough there was a blot in the sky above. It started small at first, but as the minutes passed, it only grew in size. Soon enough she could make out individual details. The Grinshaw’s Maw was built in the style of most Shil’vati ships. Which was to say that it was essentially a brick with a set of oversize engines strapped to the back.
The cargo ship was even uglier than most. Where most warships would have at least had a sleek array of laser pods running across the ship, this one had but one, mounted to the front. Instead of holding weapons, the sides of the ship bulged out awkwardly to make room for the vessel’s expanded cargo holds.
As she watched it continue to grow as it got closer, she couldn’t help but marvel at the sight. Nothing that big and cumbersome looking should have been able to move through atmosphere. Nor should it have been so quiet while doing so. Nearly twice the size of the massive super-cargo ships that used to ply Shil’s southern oceans, the thing’s engines should have been blazing away in an attempt to just keep the massive construct in the air. Instead, they were all but silent, only occasionally releasing a small puff as the ship corrected its course.
“Anti-gravity tech can be a real mindfuck,” she murmured, ignoring the way the Captain looked away from the ship to send her an amused glance.
Kernathu had tried to explain it to her once, but it had all come out as gibberish to Assisse’s ears. Like, what the fuck was a ‘graviton’ and why was it only sometimes a wave? She had no clue, and she’d long since given up trying to understand.
Finally, the ship touched down with a clunk. Then a second clunk as the anti-grav field turned off and the full weight off the ship dropped onto the landing struts.
The cargo gates opened with a whirring noise, and massive heavy-duty ramps slid down. Almost immediately cargo vehicles and exo’s began striding out to the behemoth, to begin the gargantuan task of unloading its cargo, before reloading it with exports from Gurathu.
“Shall we go see the latest addition to our little ‘family’?” Tisi said, a hint of genuine excitement peeking through her expression.
Assisse once more resisted the urge to roll her eyes. For all that the captain played the role of the no-nonsense officer, sometimes it was easy to see the excitable young woman that lay beneath. As evidenced by the fact that they were boarding the ship, rather than heading back inside to wait in the passenger terminal.
Instead of doing that, Assisse did what all enlisted throughout history did when saddled with an excitable officer. She grunted and grudgingly followed after her superior.


First / Next
Another three chapters are also available on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/bluefishcake
We also have a (surprisingly) active Discord where and I and a few other authors like to hang out: https://discord.gg/RctHFucHaq
submitted by BlueFishcake to HFY [link] [comments]

$PLTR DD have fun :)

$PLTR DD have fun :)
Hello fellow retards
I know these are difficult times for this sub and it’s almost impossible to post something solid which is not about the current meme stocks.
Instead of jerking to some porn i did some research on PLTR and want to share my DD with you. This might be a longer text for your love dopamine level so maybe you should grab some your Adderall before.
The following text might you give your eyes aids since English isn’t my native language. I will try my best.
Palantir as a Company – the beginnings
PLTR was founded by some people and one of them is Peter Thiel who worked alongside with our holy papa Elon at PayPal. As a payment-service they had concerns about money laundering and founded PLTR to tackle this issue early. The CIA also funded PLTR (they are always funding stuff like this – Siri as example). This actually might be the reason why people think that PLTR is a company which aggregates data and do data analysis for the government….but this is not accurate and not correct at all if you see the big picture. I will explain this point later.
You retard still reading? Nice here some rocket emoji’s to pump your dopamine and keep you happy.
Let’s start with the DD
First of all my POV is looking for a midterm to long term investment in PLTR. My valuation considers PLTRs current state and predicting from now on for the next few years.

  • 1. The Management
Before I start with the product I rather start with the management. You can sell the nicest thing in the world. I can guarantee you that the product definitely won’t be considered as the nicest thing after a while if you have a shitty management (Intel). With Peter Thiel on the leaderboard we got a competent asshole and CEO is Alex carp (co-founder) Peter Thiel is well known and Alex Karp is one of us. He yolod his heritage into some business and become a chad. Seriously tho, I trust Peter and if Peter holds on Alex since Decades so do I. Peter proved so many times how cunning he is and showed how to pick adapt problems early and create solutions.

  • 2. PLTR Business model/ products
Before we understand how important PLTRs products are we have to understand that we are simpeltons who don’t have any business with PLTRs. We create data. We don’t fuck with it. We creating with using our phones or working in the office. Only a few of us may working with accumulated big data. PLTRs customers’ base isn’t neighbor Joe or Aunt Nancy. The products they offer are not even for midcap companies they are more designed for whole industries and governments. That’s the reason why their products aren’t so tangible for many people.
PLTR basically offers systems to big companies/governments which import their data into these systems. PLTR doesn’t sends workers to the client to collect data and analyse it. They sell platforms. They got 2 Products called “Gotham” and “Foundry” You may think wtf is this guy talking about? Let me explain it in 2 examples:
First example is Syria with Gotham. It was impossible in the country to know who the good guys are and who the bad ones are. I know u muricans only know yourself and the rest of the world is the “rest of the world” for you. But this wasn’t so simple in Syria you had many factions with different intentions and some of them were allies and some of them were enemies. The lack of information or the ability of recognizing and sorting these information’s are crucial in a war. PLTR solved the struggle with creating a map which provided resilient information for the marines so they can operate safely. Civil problems over there could also be fixed.
https://www.mercurynews.com/2016/10/04/palantir-using-big-data-to-solve-big-humanitarian-crises/
Actually what the John Hopkins University does with the covid numbers and the map, is some sort of what PLTR offering with their solutions. There are rumors that the tracking of Covid and the vaccination will be done by PLTR.
In their S1 Form PLTR describes it this way
“Gotham, our first software platform, was constructed for analysts at defense and intelligence agencies. They were hunting for needles not in one, but in thousands of haystacks. And they did not have the software they needed to do their jobs. In Afghanistan and Iraq, soldiers were mapping networks of insurgents and makers of roadside bombs by hand. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants, and helps U.S. and allied military personnel find what they are looking for.”
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgadata/1321655/000119312520230013/d904406ds1.htm#rom904406_11
The second example is about “Foundry” and it’s directly from the S1 File of PLTR (page 121)
“An Airbus A350, for example, has five million parts and is built by hundreds of teams that are spread across four countries and more than eight factories. Companies routinely struggle to manage let alone make sense of the data involved in large projects. Foundry was built for them. The platform transforms the ways in which organizations interact with information by creating a central operating system for their data.”
Both of these systems solving big issues with less effort. The arms industry as example would took billions for drones and stuff in Syria for the same job. The important fact is that PLTR does not spend so much resources for new clients they only have to provide access and support for their services and the client feeding the “machine” with data.
The key point is to understand that PLTR benefits very huge from economy of scales. This is very important since their costs for additional revenue is basically flat while the profits growing exorbitant with new customers. They offer a software and platforms and not kind of services where they need man power. All they do is working on their platforms and improving it.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-palantir-ipo-breakingviews-idUSKCN26E3I2

  • 3. PLTRs big issue during the last decade
Peter Thiel was a great supporter of Trump and funded his elections campaign. The market thought that when trump wins then PLTR will get all the government (especially military) contracts.
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/10/technology/peter-thiel-bet-donald-trump-wins-big.html
But this didn’t happened. Peter got cucked by the huge authority apparatus in pentagon. These dudes loves bureaucracy and they do it for a good reason. If you retire from your job in pentagon you usually get a high paid luxurious position at Lockheed, Raytheon or Bae Systems to make additional free money for your retirement. Many thousand people working in pentagon just to select and buy stuff for the government. They spending billions of dollars for purchases and then PLTR came around and said like „look guys we can do this job for a few millions instead billions“. Of course the arms industry was pissed and the pentagon boomers helped them out. PLTR got constantly scammed from boomers and didn’t get the contracts. This was also the „swamp „trump was talking about.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-28/inside-palantir-s-war-with-the-u-s-army
https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2017/03/27/palantir-trump-army-military-procurement.html

https://preview.redd.it/qd6q5xyfi4h61.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ed75e73d7eefbd35c97f50ded4d7cda9e6222c25
A fun fact to this matter: Before James Mattis got summoned as the Defense Secretary of the USA he was a general in Afghanistan. He ordered services from PLTR despite the fact the pentagon was against it. But the marines praised PLTRs software and valued it over the trash they used to know from the defense/arms industry.
https://www.military.com/defensetech/2013/07/01/special-forces-marines-embrace-palantir-software
Even with a James Mattis as the defense secretary, trump as president and regardless that PLTR does it better and cheaper than the arms industry, it wasn’t possible for PLTR to get the government contracts.
https://www.politico.com/story/2017/06/11/palantir-defense-jim-mattis-inner-circle-239373
https://fortune.com/longform/palantir-pentagon-trump/
How it’s ended? Well Peter’s wife doesn’t have a boyfriend because Peter is the fucking boyfriend of their wifes. All ended at the court and PLTR won. All this injustice ended at the court. The judgements on these cases are true circuit breakers for PLTR. Not only because PLTR spent shit tons of money for law suits. The lawsuits were perfect uppercut hits on the arms industry and they ended some fraudulent behaviors and „best practices „in the government
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2016/10/31/judge-rules-in-favor-of-palantir-in-lawsuit-against-us-army/
https://www.defensenews.com/land/2019/03/29/palantir-who-successfully-sued-the-army-just-won-a-major-army-contract/
PLTR will profit from a Biden who wants to decrease the military expenditures. They will get the job done and at the same time the costs will go down. With the recent judgements the door looks open
.
  • 4. Valuation problems
I could spam some multiplication on revenue or even a DCF but I think it’s not necessary. Expect the costs of research and development (maybe marketing) the costs of PLTR stood mostly flat in the last quarters. It’s a growth stock and the pricing is mostly in the perspective of PLTR. This is actually all we need to know that the revenue increases while the costs staying mostly flat. Check out the balance sheets at page 12 on the S Form 1.
Let’s talk about the market. The whole market seems overpriced but it isn’t tbh. Due to the low cost of capital there is no alternative than to throwing your money on stocks or on real estate. There is nothing with a solid interest rate around (not even in emerging markets). At the stock exchange like in 70s, the companies had to offer a return, a perspective which should be more attractive as putting your money on a saving account with 8% interests without risks. These times are gone since the 2000s. So before people discuss insane valuation they should check out the fiscal and economical policies.
Now back to PLTR and why the price is difficult to set (cheap imo). First of all PLTR did a direct listing without an investment bank for their share offerings. Its lacking of the valuation which they usually would get through such a process.
PLTR wanted to do IPO with Morgan Stanley but it was mess.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-04/morgan-stanley-s-long-romance-of-palantir-pays-off-as-ipo-nears
Morgan Stanley proved themselves many times as stubborn communists when it comes to valuations. I mean you guys remember their disgusting price targets for tesla like 100$ post split or stuff like that.
These guys are very focused on numbers and I know it’s difficult to price in the potential and perspectives. But you can’t ignore these things for a fundamental valuation. If you want to consider these things in the price you have to understand the business of the company.
This ended that one team at Morgan Stanley valuated PLTR with 5 billion while another team thought they worth 40 billion.
https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2018/11/14/palantir-ipo-valuation-morgan-stanley.html
How is this difference possible and why is this happening? Because people don’t understand what they are valuating. This happened a lot in the last decade because the decision makers in these banks and many analyst don’t have any idea which metrics they should use on companies like that. They are using the metrics from classical industries on new business. They freaked out when Facebook was valued with 100 billion as IPO. Same with Twitter and in the last years it was Tesla. They said apple going to tank every damn year in the last decade. I honor Warren Buffet so much since he has the dignity to realize that he don’t understands something but at the same time he sees the potential and the trend. That’s why he hired 2 Chads who bought Snowflake for him. The transformation and the generation change didn’t happened yet. That’s why they try to use the metrics from Caterpillar on Tesla.
Guys the whole market is mooning with the cheap liquidity. Pennystocks and zombie companies transforming into billion dollar market cap companies. Facebook as IPO had a market cap of 104 billion back in 2012. At that time it wasn’t possible for Facebook to monetize their users with selling ads. They just paid 100 billion for the potential in more difficult market conditions.
Look at the IPOs like doordash, Bumble. I’m not going to call this a bubble. Just check out their business cases and use the metrics. Maybe its easier for people to understand Bumble and Doordash…
On page 12 of the S1 (balance sheet) Form you can already see the huge positive trends in PLTRs revenue and their costs. All this without all the positive events and contracts PLTR recently got.
PLTRs valuation is difficult and I think it’s miscalculated by pessimistic communist who don’t understand that their products are game changers for industries, governments and defense forces. Because of these points I think there is huge price potential for PLTR.

  • 5. Risks for PLTR
Despite the general market risks PLTR mentions at page 29 of the S1 Form the competitors as the main risk: “We face intense competition in our markets, and we may lack sufficient financial or other resources to maintain or improve our competitive position.” The S1 Form didn’t aged well. Actually I don’t think that PLTR would have any trouble with offering new shares. Also with Peter Thiel as one of the founders the financial side should be stable.
As PLTR competitor people use to mention IBM. The boomers from IBM already surrendered with their Windows95 computers and decided to cooperate. The biggest threat would be big tech with big money like AMZN or APPL. You all now the stories about APPL and Spotify or AMZN and all the merchants. Even if the big players would step into PLTR markets it would be difficult for them since PLTRs products doesn’t rely on an Amazon store or on apple devices. PLTR is years ahead with their products.
I think the greatest risk (still) are the boomerish arms industry and all the boomers in pentagon and other authorities.
There are very corrupt infrastructures when it comes to decision making and assigning contracts. People fear changes but they can’t avoid the changes. With the recent judgements we can see a turn on the tables but the transformation will still take time. It’s a circuit breaker with an avalanche effect.
The risk factors on page 16 on the S1 form mostly aren’t relevant anymore. People complained that PLTR wasn’t profitable for 18 years. Well PLTR was never designed to be profitable and Alex Karp once said “love us or leave us alone”.
https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2020/09/09/palantir-ceo-makes-livestreamed-pitch-to-investors.html
But even this changed recently. PLTR became profitable in 2020 with 130,000,000§. Now the same people complaining about how high the stock price compared to the profits. Well just you wait.

  • 6. Conclusion and Outlook
If you still reading I have to admit that this was a lot text and i am sorry again about the lingo. Let’s connect the dots and bring this information to a point
  1. The boomer coalition in the pentagon and in the arms industry is taken down by PLTR. They will able to get the governments contracts and the classic arms/defense industry is no match for PLTR products. The judgements of lawsuits were catalyst and the effects should be already shown in the next earnings. These were such underrated events but I think there still will be some odds but PLTRs situation is much better as it was a time ago. The chains are off!
  2. Military expenditures rising worldwide

https://preview.redd.it/es8lf2qei4h61.jpg?width=744&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=90ba50e0ce9a0de2a0ca3957a1f2af3c7607e3b1
https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2020/global-military-expenditure-sees-largest-annual-increase-decade-says-sipri-reaching-1917-billion
With Bidens presidency we will see more disruptive technologies chosen by the government. Biden want to reduce the military expenditures. PLTR is able to provide better service for lower cost. Not only the recent judgements also the political change will help PLTR. Ironic if you remember that Peter supported Trump and getting his tendies from Biden.
  1. PLTR superior products profits hugely from economy of scales. They don’t have any significant costs when they acquire new customers. Making the big data usable for decisions making is already very important and step by step people realize that this issue growing fast. We creating everyday more data than we did yesterday and leaving the majority of it as trace and unstructured data. We don’t work with it but big Institutions does.
Here is the passage from the S1 and I fully agree with it:
“The systemic failures of government institutions to provide for the public — fractured healthcare systems, erosions of data privacy, strained criminal justice systems, and outmoded ways of fighting wars — will continue to require both the public and private sectors to transform themselves. We believe that the underperformance and loss of legitimacy of many of these institutions will only increase the speed with which they are required to change.”
  1. PLTRs value. The current situation of the market with tons of liquidity seems like a bubble. People don’t know what to do with the cheap capital and people throwing it even on meme pennystocks.
Facebook had his ipo back in 2012 during much harder market conditions as now. The valuation of Facebook was over 100 billion and people called it insanely overvalued. They did it because Facebook didn’t had a way to monetize their users (especially on mobile platforms). Facebook has a market cap of over 750 billion now and nobody calling it over valued.
A remember the recent examples? Bumble?! Bruuuh. Don’t get me wrong if you invested in Bumble but they have nothing special to offer and their business case can easily copied or improved by others. Its shows the current state of our market with the crazy liquidity that even zombie companies got astronomic valuations. Use these metrics on PLTR with great products, great management, low cost base and less odds as ever before….
PLTR price is wrong imo especially in this market and with PLTRs current state and perspective.
  1. Do you use PLTR? Me Neither! It’s not designed for us and we have to inform us about the success. PLTRs new contracts and their future are shining bright. With the settled lawsuits the sky is clear for PLTR. But their customer base is not only America. I’m not a murican and 3 weeks before I just find out that the police departments in our state using PLTR products. I don’t need to link endless evidences here since you can google it by yourself and see how many contracts PLTR recently got. Especially after the circuit breakers we talked about.
I have genuinely trust into Peter Thiel and Alex Karp that their will make the best of PLTRs potential. The odds getting removed and the demand for PLTR is increasing.
If all these information would priced in correctly we would have a share price of at least 60-70$. With upcoming and ongoing positive events PLTR share price should soar more..
What’s next?
Now we have earnings ahead and the lock up period ending.
For the earnings I think the number will be fine and keep up the positive trend on revenue with a disproportionately trend of the costs. The most important part will be guidance for 2021. We should listen closely and see if the magic is already happening.
The second event is the ending of the lock up period. You all remember the end of the lock up period of Nikola? Just 1-2 days after they announced they don’t got the GM deal? The stock tanked – for a good reason. You know the guy Trevor Milton.
But in PLTRs case everything is different. Despite the successful deals they got, does a guy who says “love us or leave us alone” sounds like someone who going to drop his shares at the first possibility? I don’t expect such a behavior from Alex Karp and neither from Peter Thiel. If some employees drop their shares it should be fine.
I would appreciate if the stock prices would go below 3ß. It would create a healthy bullish chart pattern and would be actually a nice discount to get in or stock up. I don’t think that the shares going to dump a lot because of this event. The earnings and the guidance are more important and the key events if you want to invest mid – long term.
What does all this means for you? Nothing! Please don’t do any market activity based on my DD. I’m just sharing my knowledge and looking for critics so I can reevaluate my theses. This is not a financial advice.
This is not a financil advise!
I’m not well positioned and not trying to pump this stock. I have 70 shares and a CSP. Fair play and fuck all the bots and pump and dumper we recently got in the sub!
Leave an upvote if this post helped you. I need some more karma to be able to shitpost everywhere again!
submitted by PutsOnYourWife to wallstreetbetsOGs [link] [comments]

A PvP Analysis on Community Day Roserade

With apologies to the artist Seal....
🎼 Baby! I compare you to a kiss from a rose on Community Day
🎶 Ooh, the more I get of you, the shinier it feels, yeah!
Now that Roserade is in bloom
Weather Ball lights the room on Community Day....
Hello again, fellow travelers and PvPers! As I've done many times before (with Charizard, Gyarados, Gengar and many more), I want to take a close look at this month's Community Day spotlight Pokémon and examine its merits in PvP. And for the first time, this month's featured 'mon will receive TWO exclusive moves at once! Let's not waste any more time, as Community Day is now mere hours away. Made it by thaaaaaaaat much. 😌 Let's dive in to our analysis on Roserade!

ROSERADE

Grass/Poison Type
GREAT LEAGUE:
Attack: 145 (141 High Stat Product)
Defense: 110 (114 High Stat Product)
HP: 97 (98 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-11-14, 1499 CP, Level 19)
ULTRA LEAGUE:
Attack: 184 (182 High Stat Product)
Defense: 147 (148 High Stat Product)
HP: 123 (127 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-12-15, 2499 CP, Level 33)
MASTER LEAGUE:
Attack: 204 (217 at Level 50)
Defense: 158 (168 at Level 50)
HP: 134 (142 at Level 50)
(Assuming 15-15-15 IVs)
The best defense is a good offense? Roserade certainly hopes so. While not quite as extreme as, say, Haunter (which has Defense AND stamina dipping below 100), anything with less than 100 HP in Great League (at least without sky high Defense to compensate, which is NOT the case here) clearly belongs in the "glass cannon" category.
Good thing then that Grass/Poison is a decent defensive type combination. Yes, you still have to watch out for Flyers and Fires and Ices, and the Poison side is also weak to Psychic damage, but you get resistances to Water, Electric, Fairy, Fighting, and 2x to Grass.
But anyway, let's get to the part you're really here for: the new moves.
ᴱ - Exclusive (Community Day) Move
Fast Moves:
Bullet Seedᴱ (Grass, 1.67 DPT, 4.33 EPT, 1.5 CoolDown)
Poison Jab (Poison, 3.0 DPT, 3.5 EPT, 1.0 CD)
Razor Leaf (Grass, 5.0 DPT, 2.0 EPT, 1.0 CD)
So the few times I have seen Roserade show up in PvP, it's been with Razor Leaf. It hits harder than (non-Shadow) Victreebel and has some decent charge moves too. (More on those in a moment.) But what Roserade has going for it that many prospective Razor Leafers don't is a very good Poison fast move as well. Poison Jab is actually the best Poison has got, and a very good PvP move overall, with average damage output combined with above average energy generation. Most moves roughly even out to a 3 overall between DPT and EPT (something like 2.5 for one and 3.5 for the other, or 4 for one and 2 for the other, that sort of thing). To have one that exceeds that is always nice. We'll be looking at Jab again as we move ahead in the analysis.
But for the moment, the move to highlight is the new one: Bullet Seed. It turns Roserade into quite a different Pokémon, shifting from dealing heavy fast move damage to one that relies much more on spamming charge moves. So it's nice that it gets a new, super spammy one to pair with it. Let's see what we've got to work with....
Charge Moves:
Weather Ball (Fire)ᴱ (Fire, 60 damage, 35 energy)
Sludge Bomb (Poison, 80 damage, 50 energy)
Grass Knot (Grass, 90 damage, 50 energy)
Dazzling Gleam (Fairy, 110 damage, 70 energy)
Solar Beam (Grass, 150 damage, 80 energy)
So paired with Bullet Seed, the other new move is super spammy Fire Weather Ball. This immediately draws comparisons to the already exisiting Sunshine version of Cherrim, who has the same moves and has made some noise in GBL and Silph Arena Cups, and is on the verge of (I believe) making a lot of noise in Love Cup. So let's start there: comparing the two.
Cherrim is only really viable in Great League, as it tops out just north of 2000 CP at Level 40, and doesn't even reach 2350 CP if pushed all the way up to Level 51. So our comparison will be at GL level. Putting them side by side, Cherrim has much more desirable stats for PvP, having roughly equivalent (though still slightly higher) Defense to Roserade but 30 more HP on average. Roserade, by contrast, has 20-25 more Attack strength. Cherrim also lacks a Poison (or any other) subtyping, and thus loses the resistances Roserade has to Fighting and Fairy, and its resistance to Grass is just a single one as opposed to Roserade's double. Cherrim is not weak to Psychic damage like Roserade is, but is instead weak to Poison and Bug moves, and resists Ground (unlike Roserade who takes neutral damage from Ground). Got all that? Some of it will be important in understanding what they handle differently, which we'll look at... right now!
So, again sticking with Great League, here are the comps:
All that said, Cherrim has a slightly longer list of wins, and most of what it wins it does so with enough left over to get in some good hits on whatever opposing Pokémon steps up next. Despite what logic would dictate, while Cherrim takes neutral damage from Fighting and Roserade resists, it is Cherrim that holds up better against many Counter users. Cherrim is also superior against Psychics (which prey on Roserade's Poison side) and Grounds (escaping with MUCH more life left over than Roserade) and has high enough bulk to outlast other bulky opposition like Registeel and Meganium. Roserade's advantages are outracing the Mud Boys, most prominent Ghosts, and Umbreon for good measure.
End of the day, in a direct Bullet Seed/Weather Ball/Grass charge move comparison, despite having a much better suited Grass charge move, Roserade just can't quite keep up with Cherrim, but does enough that it may fit some teams better.
There is one more very direct comparison we can make too, as both Roserade and Cherrim also have Fairy move Dazzling Gleam as part of their moveset. They both want to keep Weather Ball for sure, so Gleam has to slot in over their Grass charge moves and turns them into more generalists than true Grasses. But I have personally run a BS/WBF/DG Cherrim with pretty good success in GBL for a while now, so I think it's worth at least a quick look here.
End odf the day, though, while Gleam offers each a couple nice niches, it's pretty clear that Grass Knot/Solar Beam are better and more impactful moves overall.
That's about where the story ends with Cherrim... but it's just beginning with Roserade. Let's look at some of its other unique move options in Great League... and beyond.
Sticking with BS/WBF, there is one more coverage move that Roserade has to offer: Sludge Bomb, with STAB! It's biggest contribution is probably no surprise: beating the prominent Charmers Wigglytuff and Clefable by a safe margin. It also beats Meganium and Shiftry, and provides an alternative but still very effective way to hold onto a big win over Azumarill. While those results are quite significant and will surely lead to a Sludge Bomb/WBF monster emerging in future Cups or perhaps even in open GBL, there is an equally significant cost: Roserade no longer beats any of the aforementioned Ghosts except Haunter (Froslass, Jellicent, Sableye), has no real shot against any notable Fighter, and no longer beats Umbreon, Diggersby, Whiscash, or Lapras, to name a few big ones. That may still be okay on the right team and/or in the right meta (it would give Roserade an extremely solid anti-meta role in Love Cup, for example, were it eligible), but generally it would appear you'll still want Grass Knot more for the sheer number of varied wins it leads to.
But wait a minute... what if we flipped it around the other way? What if we keep Grass Knot, but still get Poison damage too... from Poison Jab? 🤔 In this configuration, Roserade gives up Ghosts (as it did with Sludge Bomb... and yes, including Haunter this time), as well as Galarian Stunfisk, Swampert, Lapras, and Diggersby due to them resisting Poison and/or taking super effective damage from Bullet Seed, and also loses Abomasnow and Umbreon due to the degrade in energy generation (AKA less Weather Balls). And I know that all sounds bad... but there's good there too, I promise! Roserade basically gives up some of its versatility to become a more dedicated Grass and Fairy slayer. Look at the gains: Venusaur, Meganium, Shiftry, Tropius (and that's with Air Slash!), and Wigglytuff. All now solid wins. As bonuses, PJ Roserade can also beat down DDeoxys, Shadow Machamp, Obstagoon, and Galvantula too. Perhaps you look at that and conclude that what it gives up is too much for those gains to counterbalance... and in open Great League, I might be inclined to agree. But in Cup formats that feature Grasses and/or Fairies, perhaps with Fighters mixed in too? Poison Jab Roserade is looking pretty spicy now in that sort of environment. And Cherrim cannot imitate THAT kind of performance.
Okay, I think that finally about covers it for Great League. In brief, it's a slightly worse Cherrim overall, but does enough unique things that I think there is room for both... and Roserade has a wider variety of moves that could make it a little more troublesome for the uninformed. Poison Jab Roserade in particular has some nice potential in the right format.
But Roserade, unlike Cherrim, is not limtied to Great League play. How does it fare in the bigger badder leagues? Let's take a spin through them and see!
And there we go... I think we're done, making this officially my FOURTH major article in the last six days. (Shadow Pokémon analysis, two massive "Nifty Or Thrifty" meta/budget analysis articles, and now this!) Whew. I hope this extensive look proved helpful to you and helps you understand where to focus your efforts during this unusual Community Day. Good luck, and good hunting. May all your shinies have good PvP IVs!
Until next time (which may be a few days after all the writing this week! 🥴), you can always find me on Twitter with near-daily PvP analysis nuggets or Patreon with its tie-in Discord server you can access to get straight through to me for personalized answers to your questions.
Continued thanks to my PvP friends, local and around the world, who have lent their own ideas and suggestions over the last two years of PvP play, and helped teach me to be a better player and student of the game. And I don't say it enough anymore, but particular thanks to my friend u/Empoleon_Dynamite over at PvPoke.com for making all of my analysis possible and happily collaborating and brainstorming on so many articles over the years. He has his own thoughts on Roserade that I encourage you all to check out as well.
And thank you for reading... I appreciate your attention and encouragement. Catch you next time, and good luck out there!
submitted by JRE47 to TheSilphRoad [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Newcomers FAQ - Please read!

Welcome to the /Bitcoin Sticky FAQ

You've probably been hearing a lot about Bitcoin recently and are wondering what's the big deal? Most of your questions should be answered by the resources below but if you have additional questions feel free to ask them in the comments.
It all started with the release of Satoshi Nakamoto's whitepaper however that will probably go over the head of most readers so we recommend the following articles/books/videos as a good starting point for understanding how bitcoin works and a little about its long term potential:
Some other great resources include Michael Saylor's "Bitcoin for Everybody"' course, Jameson Lopp's resource page, Gigi's resource page, and James D'Angelo's Bitcoin 101 Blackboard series. Some excellent writing on Bitcoin's value proposition and future can be found at the Satoshi Nakamoto Institute.
If you are technically or academically inclined check out developer resources and peer-reviewed research papers, course lectures from both MIT and Princeton as well as future protocol improvements and scaling resources. Some Bitcoin statistics can be found here, here and here. MicroStrategy's Bitcoin for Corporations is an excellent open source series on corporate legal and financial bitcoin integration.
You can also see the number of times Bitcoin was declared dead by the media (LOL) and what you could have earned if you didn't listen to them! XD

Key properties of Bitcoin

Where can I buy bitcoin?

Bitcoin.org and BuyBitcoinWorldwide.com are helpful sites for beginners. You can buy or sell any amount of bitcoin (even just a few dollars worth) and there are several easy methods to purchase bitcoin with cash, credit card or bank transfer. Some of the more popular resources are below, also check out the bitcoinity exchange resources for a larger list of options for purchases.
You can also purchase in cash with local ATMs. If you would like your paycheck automatically converted to bitcoin use Bitwage.
Note: Bitcoin are valued at whatever market price people are willing to pay for them in balancing act of supply vs demand. Unlike traditional markets, bitcoin markets operate 24 hours per day, 365 days per year.

Securing your bitcoin

With bitcoin you can "Be your own bank" and personally secure your bitcoin OR you can use third party companies aka "Bitcoin banks" which will hold the bitcoin for you.
Note: For increased security, use Two Factor Authentication (2FA) everywhere it is offered, including email!
2FA requires a second confirmation code or a physical security key to access your account making it much harder for thieves to gain access. Google Authenticator and Authy are the two most popular 2FA services, download links are below. Make sure you create backups of your 2FA codes.
Avoid using your cell number for 2FA. Hackers have been using a technique called "SIM swapping" to impersonate users and steal bitcoin off exchanges.
Google Auth Authy OTP Auth andOTP
Android Android N/A Android
iOS iOS iOS N/A
Physical security keys (FIDO U2F) offer stronger security than Google Auth / Authy and other TOTP-based apps, because the secret code never leaves the device and it uses bi-directional authentication so it prevents phishing. If you lose the device though, you could lose access to your account, so always use 2 or more security keys with a given account so you have backups. See Yubikey or Titan to purchase security keys.
Both Coinbase and Gemini support physical security keys.

Watch out for scams

As mentioned above, Bitcoin is decentralized, which by definition means there is no official website or Twitter handle or spokesperson or CEO. However, all money attracts thieves. This combination unfortunately results in scammers running official sounding names or pretending to be an authority on YouTube or social media. Many scammers throughout the years have claimed to be the inventor of Bitcoin. Websites like bitcoin(dot)com and the r / btc subreddit are active scams. Almost all altcoins (shitcoins) are marketed heavily with big promises but are really just designed to separate you from your bitcoin. So be careful: any resource, including all linked in this document, may in the future turn evil. As they say in our community, "Don't trust, verify".

Common Bitcoin Myths

Often the same concerns arise about Bitcoin from newcomers. Questions such as:
All of these questions have been answered many times by a variety of people. Here are some resources where you can see if your concern has been answered:

Where can I spend bitcoin?

Check out spendabit or bitcoin directory for millions of merchant options. Also you can spend bitcoin anywhere visa is accepted with bitcoin debit cards such as the CashApp card or Fold card. Some other useful site are listed below.
Store Product
Bitrefill, Gyft Gift cards for thousands of retailers worldwide including Amazon, Target, Walmart, Starbucks, Whole Foods, CVS, Lowes, Home Depot, iTunes, Best Buy, Sears, Kohls, eBay, GameStop, etc.
Spendabit, Overstock and The Bitcoin Directory Retail shopping with millions of results
NewEgg and Dell For all your electronics needs
Piixpay, Bitbill.eu, Bylls, Coins.ph, LivingRoomofSatoshi, Coinsfer, and more Bill payment
Menufy and Takeaway Takeout delivered to your door
Expedia, Cheapair, Destinia, Abitsky, SkyTours, the Travel category on Gyft and 9flats For when you need to get away
Cryptostorm, Mullvad, and PIA VPN services
Namecheap, Porkbun Domain name registration
Stampnik Discounted USPS Priority, Express, First-Class mail postage
Coinmap and AirBitz are helpful to find local businesses accepting bitcoin. A good resource for UK residents is at wheretospendbitcoins.co.uk.
There are also lots of charities which accept bitcoin donations.

Merchant Resources

There are several benefits to accepting bitcoin as a payment option if you are a merchant;
If you are interested in accepting bitcoin as a payment method, there are several options available;

Can I mine bitcoin?

Mining bitcoin can be a fun learning experience, but be aware that you will most likely operate at a loss. Newcomers are often advised to stay away from mining unless they are only interested in it as a hobby similar to folding at home. If you want to learn more about mining you can read the mining FAQ. Still have mining questions? The crew at /BitcoinMining would be happy to help you out.
If you want to contribute to the bitcoin network by hosting the blockchain and propagating transactions you can run a full node. You can view the global node distribution for a visual representation of the node network.

Earning bitcoin

Just like any other form of money, you can also earn bitcoin by being paid to do a job.
Site Description
WorkingForBitcoins, Bitwage, Cryptogrind, Coinality, Bitgigs, /Jobs4Bitcoins, BitforTip, Rein Project Freelancing
Lolli Earn bitcoin when you shop online!
OpenBazaar, Purse.io, Bitify, /Bitmarket Marketplaces
/GirlsGoneBitcoin NSFW Adult services
A-ads, Coinzilla.io Advertising
You can also earn bitcoin by participating as a market maker on JoinMarket by allowing users to perform CoinJoin transactions with your bitcoin for a small fee (requires you to already have some bitcoin).

Bitcoin-Related Projects

The following is a short list of ongoing projects that might be worth taking a look at if you are interested in current development in the bitcoin space.
Project Description
Lightning Network Second layer scaling
Liquid, Rootstock and Drivechain Sidechains
Hivemind Prediction markets
Tierion and Factom Records & Titles on the blockchain
BitMarkets, DropZone, Beaver and Open Bazaar Decentralized markets
JoinMarket and Wasabi Wallet CoinJoin implementation
Decentralized exhanges Decentralized bitcoin exchanges
Keybase Identity & Reputation management
Abra Global P2P money transmitter network
Bitcore Open source Bitcoin javascript library

Bitcoin Units

One Bitcoin is quite large (hundreds of £/$/€) so people often deal in smaller units. The most common subunits are listed below:
Unit Symbol Value Info
bitcoin BTC 1 bitcoin one bitcoin is equal to 100 million satoshis
millibitcoin mBTC 1,000 per bitcoin used as default unit in recent Electrum wallet releases
bit bit 1,000,000 per bitcoin colloquial "slang" term for microbitcoin (μBTC)
satoshi sat 100,000,000 per bitcoin smallest unit in bitcoin, named after the inventor
For example, assuming an arbitrary exchange rate of $10000 for one Bitcoin, a $10 meal would equal:
For more information check out the Bitcoin units wiki.
Still have questions? Feel free to ask in the comments below or stick around for our weekly Mentor Monday thread. If you decide to post a question in /Bitcoin, please use the search bar to see if it has been answered before, and remember to follow the community rules outlined on the sidebar to receive a better response. The mods are busy helping manage our community so please do not message them unless you notice problems with the functionality of the subreddit.
Note: This is a community created FAQ. If you notice anything missing from the FAQ or that requires clarification you can edit it here and it will be included in the next revision pending approval.
Welcome to the Bitcoin community and the new decentralized economy!
submitted by BitcoinFan7 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Steam 2020 Winter Sale Megathread

The Steam 2020 Winter Sale is here!

This thread will serve as a daily discussion and a place to post questions and other miscellaneous comments about the sale.
Thread comments are sorted by New by default, but you can change the sorting for yourself if you'd rather view top comments.
   

Come and join our Discord server!

Join in on active discussion over there with other community members on a bunch of different topics!
A verified phone number on your Discord account is required to be able to chat.
   

Go to the main Steam store page to browse featured deals!

You can keep scrolling down on the main Steam Store page and more content will appear.
Are you looking for games under a specific price? Use the 'Narrow by Price' feature in a search! The search sidebar has other narrowing features as well. You can narrow by: Operating system, language, number of players, specific features and tags, VR support, special offers, wish-listed items, items you already own and ignored items.
This page will bring up an empty search so you can easily use the sidebar to customize a search.
   

View the top 20 games of each month this year, January through November.

Scrolling down to the bottom of these pages will reveal a short top 5 list of free games released during that month.
   

'Browse by genre' sale browsing feature.

This feature allows you to select a main genre so you can view games on sale in that genre, with a search section and more at the bottom of the page, you can even apply sub-genres!
Here is a list of all the main genres you can browse in this new feature:
Once you have selected a main genre to browse in you can apply a sub-genre. These sub-genres are different depending on which main genre you're browsing.
   

Claim a free sticker in The Points Shop every 48 hours!

   

New: Give Awards to Steam Profiles and Discussions posts and replies.

You can now give awards directly to other users on their Steam profile pages, and on Steam Discussions posts and replies.
You can read more about Steam Community Awards here.
   

New Profile Showcases

4 new showcases have been added:
Video Showcase
Awards Showcase
Completionist Showcase
Featured Artwork Showcase
   

New: Upgrade and buy additional Profile Showcases

Each upgrade costs 3,000 points, and purchasing an additional showcase costs 6,000 points.
The following showcases can be upgraded:
An additional showcase can be bought for almost every type of showcase.
   

New Points Shop Badge: Seasonal Badge

This badge can be bought for 1,000 points per level, to a maximum of 20 levels for a total of 20,000 points. Each level gives you 100 profile XP.
You can view your own progress here!

Winter Collection - 2020

The Winter Collection has brings 4 new avatar frames, 1 new mini-profile background and 1 new profile background.
   

Steam Awards 2020 Trading Card Badge

How to get Steam Awards 2020 Trading Cards:

Steam Awards Trading Card Badge FAQ

Q: Where can I see a full list of Emoticons and Backgrounds for the badge?
A: You can either look on the SteamCardExchange page for the badge or browse The Steam Awards 2020 category on the Community Market
Q: Can I craft the 2020 Steam Awards Trading Cards into a badge after the sale is over?
A: The Steam Awards badge will remain craftable until the end of the sale. If after the sale has ended you have enough expired trading cards to craft the badge, you can do so at anytime.
   

Vote amongst the final nominees in the 2020 Steam Awards!

For each category you vote in you will receive 1 Steam Awards Trading Card.
The nominees are as follows:
Game of the Year:
VR Game of the Year:
Labour of Love:
Better With Friends:
Most Innovative Gameplay:
Outstanding Story Rich Game:
Best Game You Suck At:
Outstanding Visual Style:
Best Soundtrack:
Sit Back and Relax:

The Steam Awards FAQ

Q: How much time do I have on me to vote?
A: Voting stops on 2021 January 3rd @ 9AM PST.
Q: When will the winners be announced?
A: All winners will be announced here on 2021 January 3rd @ 10AM PST.
Q: Can I make changes to my votes?
A: Yes, simply click on the Change Vote button on any other game to change your vote.
   

The Points Shop FAQ

Q: How do I gain points?
A: Specific amounts are different for every currency, but give or take a few points: every $1 USD you spend on the Steam Store will give you 100 points to use in The Points Shop, this includes gifts and any other type of purchase on the Steam Store.
Q: When does The Points Shop close?
A: The Points Shop isn't closing!
Q: Will items I buy expire?
A: No! Everything except for the Seasonal Profile is yours to permanently keep.
Q: Why do I have points from before?
A: All purchases you've made after the 2020 Steam Lunar New Year Sale ended(2020 January 27th at 10AM PST) has been tallied up and added to your account. For more information you can view your points history.
As the points history page points out: you may also have received points in the shop because you received an award on a community post or a review.
Q: Will new things be added to The Points Shop?
A: Yes, new things that you can buy from The Points Shop will be added over time, exactly when we do not know.
Q: Can I sell or trade items I buy from The Points Shop?
A: No, any items you buy from The Points Shop are bound to your account and cannot be traded, sold or otherwise transferred.
Q: What happens to my Steam Points when I refund a game?
A: When you refund a game, the points you gained from that purchase will be deducted from your account. If that causes your Points balance to go negative your most recent items and Community Awards you've used points for will be removed until your balance is no longer negative.
Full explanation and FAQ here: https://store.steampowered.com/points/howitworks
   

Subreddit Meta

The following is mostly for individual posts, not comments in this thread.
  • Please don't submit low-effort posts, or old/generic memes.
  • General questions and conversations about the 2020 Steam Winter Sale should only be posted here. We will be removing posts that the moderators deem fit for the megathread.
  • All individual threads about "should I buy this game" or other low-effort game advice posts will be removed and be redirected to this thread.
  • If you are not posting something unique, please do not post. There are a multitude of subreddits that would rather have your dank memes, or generic GabeN posts.
  • Yes, Steam's server are under high load and might cause glitches or go down. Please don't post about it.
   

Support Issues

We will maintain the support megathread as a sticky. If you have issues with Steam or a game, post them there.
   

Beware of scams!

During the sale(...and literally any other time) be vigilant of scams!
Want a tip on how to get wallet funds on Steam? Pay for it. There is no such thing as free wallet funds or free game codes. Never login to a 3rd party site if it asks for your password and authenticator code. If someone adds you as a friend and sends you a website or says they are from Steam/Valve or says you've been reported, they need to check your items, etc: block and report them, it is a scam. No Valve employee will ever speak to you directly through chat, they will only talk to you via a support ticket, and there's no such thing as a Steam Admin, and Volunteer Steam Moderators will not contact you about account issues.
Secure your account and educate yourself on scams!
Is your account hijacked? Read this.
If it sounds too good to be true... it's because it is.
   

Steam General Sale FAQ

Q: When does the sale end?
A: The 2020 Steam Winter Sale ends on 2021 January 5 @ 10AM PST. Click here to convert it to your time.
   
Q: Why are my downloads so slow?
A: There is severe load on Steams servers, both store and content servers. Just give it some time, and try again later. Also, don't forget to check the server status on the sidebar. If you're having these issues at the very start or very end of the sale it is par for the course as the store and product pages are transitioning over for the sale, and as the servers are being bombarded by loads and requests by users. Try to clear the download cache.
If you consistently have issues please post in the support thread or use this Steam Guide for information and as a troubleshooting tool.
   
Q: The store doesn't load, only my library works, images are broken, weird blue text, etc
A: The store not loading at the start and end of the sale is normal, and relatively slower load times is also normal, but if this is consistently happening try to clear the Steam browser cache and cookies.
If this doesn't work you can post in the support thread or use this Steam Guide for information and as a troubleshooting tool.
   
Q: I'm new to Steam! Where do I begin?
A: Welcome! Please read the Welcome to Steam page in our Wiki.
   
Q: Are the prices consistent throughout the sale?
A: Yes, sale prices will remain the same throughout the sale.
   
Q: Can I share games that I bought with family or friends?
A: Yes, you can do this through Steam Family Share. Keep in mind that games that you have bought are tied to your account. They cannot be transferred or exchanged between accounts.
You may also want to check out Steam Remote Play and Steam Remote Play Together.
   
Q: I can't gift a friend because of regional price differences, what do I do?
A: You can send your a friend a Digital Gift Card via Steam.
You can also gift games via a different, trusted and verified re-seller, like HumbleBundle.
Here is our full list of safe sites to buy Steam keys from.
   
Q: Can games be cheaper on other sites during the sale? What sites should I check?
A: Yes, games can be cheaper on other sites during the Steam Sale. Here is our list of safe sites to buy Steam keys from. There are many sites that sell Steam keys that practice in shady business, we recommend you only use the sites listed in that wiki page. For more information regarding key re-sellers please read this wiki page.
   
Q: My Wallet/Gift Card code is damaged and I can't redeem it! What do I do?
A: If your Wallet/Gift Card code is damaged, or otherwise can't be redeemed you need to contact Steam Support with a picture of the card.
Please note: If your code is printed directly on a receipt Steam Support will not be able to assist you, you'll need to return to the store you purchased it from for help.
   
Q: I don't like the game I purchased** or **a game I purchased a few days ago is cheaper now, can I refund it?
A: Yes, you can refund games on Steam, even if you bought a game a few days ago and you wan't to re-purchase it during the sale to get it for less.
To refund a game you cannot have more than 2 hours of playtime in it, and you cannot have owned it for longer than 14 days.
  • If you have played game for more than 2 hours, regardless of how long you've owned it, you are no longer within your right to receive a refund.
  • If you have owned a game for more than 14 days, regardless of playtime, you are no longer within your right to receive a refund.
Please note: Approved refunds can take up to 7 days to appear in your account. If your refund hasn’t appeared after 7 days, please contact your bank directly and ask about pending funds on your account.
For more information on Steam Refunds: Steam Refund terms -- Common Refund Questions -- How To Request A Refund.
   

A few related Subreddits you might find useful:

/SteamDeals
/SteamFriend
/ShouldIBuyThisGame
/SteamTradingCards
/GameScreens
/SteamOS
/SteamGrid
/SteamController
/GameDeals
/TipOfMyJoyStick

Please read this entire post before you make a comment.

Enjoy the sale everyone!

submitted by Bodomi to Steam [link] [comments]

The new 2021 Model S/X are available on Tesla's website to configure now

Model S, estimated delivery March 2021 for the US at least

New options appear to be:

Model X, estimated delivery April 2021 for the US at least

New options appear to be:

More details for both S/X:

Three Displays
With 2200x1300 resolution, ultra-bright colors with exceptional responsiveness and left-right tilt, the new center display is an ideal touchscreen for entertainment and gaming anywhere. A second display in front of the driver shows critical driving information, and a third display provides entertainment and controls for rear passengers.
Game from Anywhere
Up to 10 teraflops of processing power enables in-car gaming on-par with today’s newest consoles via Tesla Arcade. Wireless controller compatibility allows gaming from any seat.
Tri-Zone Climate Controls
Airflow and temperature are controlled entirely through the displays without any physical vents. On hot days, Cabin Overheat Protection ensures interiors always stay cool. In cold weather, pre-conditioning automatically warms the cabin and prepares the battery for maximum range.
Yoke Steering
The ultimate focus on driving: no stalks, no shifting. With a stalkless steering yoke, you can enjoy both the best car to drive, and the best car to be driven in.
22-Speaker Audio
A 22-speaker, 960-watt audio system offers the best listening experience at home or on the road, and new microphones enable active noise canceling.
Glass Roof
The full Glass Roof gives passengers a brighter, more spacious experience and unobstructed views of the sky. Infrared and UV light is effectively blocked before entering the cabin, reducing heat and glare even when the sun is directly overhead.
(Model X only) Panoramic Windshield
The largest all glass panoramic windshield in production provides a seamless view of the stars and sky above. Optimized solar tinting and an obstruction-free view creates unlimited visibility for the driver and up to six passengers.

Full interior details:

Audio and Media
Comfort
Convenience
Premium Connectivity, 1 year complimentary
submitted by melancholicricebowl to teslamotors [link] [comments]

A PvP Analysis on Community Day Roserade

With apologies to the artist Seal....
🎼 Baby! I compare you to a kiss from a rose on Community Day
🎶 Ooh, the more I get of you, the shinier it feels, yeah!
Now that Roserade is in bloom
Weather Ball lights the room on Community Day....
Hello again, fellow travelers and PvPers! As I've done many times before (with Charizard, Gyarados, Gengar and many more), I want to take a close look at this month's Community Day spotlight Pokémon and examine its merits in PvP. And for the first time, this month's featured 'mon will receive TWO exclusive moves at once! Let's not waste any more time, as Community Day is now mere hours away. Made it by thaaaaaaaat much. 😌 Let's dive in to our analysis on Roserade!

ROSERADE

Grass/Poison Type
GREAT LEAGUE:
Attack: 145 (141 High Stat Product)
Defense: 110 (114 High Stat Product)
HP: 97 (98 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-11-14, 1499 CP, Level 19)
ULTRA LEAGUE:
Attack: 184 (182 High Stat Product)
Defense: 147 (148 High Stat Product)
HP: 123 (127 High Stat Product)
(Highest Stat Product IVs: 0-12-15, 2499 CP, Level 33)
MASTER LEAGUE:
Attack: 204 (217 at Level 50)
Defense: 158 (168 at Level 50)
HP: 134 (142 at Level 50)
(Assuming 15-15-15 IVs)
The best defense is a good offense? Roserade certainly hopes so. While not quite as extreme as, say, Haunter (which has Defense AND stamina dipping below 100), anything with less than 100 HP in Great League (at least without sky high Defense to compensate, which is NOT the case here) clearly belongs in the "glass cannon" category.
Good thing then that Grass/Poison is a decent defensive type combination. Yes, you still have to watch out for Flyers and Fires and Ices, and the Poison side is also weak to Psychic damage, but you get resistances to Water, Electric, Fairy, Fighting, and 2x to Grass.
But anyway, let's get to the part you're really here for: the new moves.
ᴱ - Exclusive (Community Day) Move
Fast Moves:
Bullet Seedᴱ (Grass, 1.67 DPT, 4.33 EPT, 1.5 CoolDown)
Poison Jab (Poison, 3.0 DPT, 3.5 EPT, 1.0 CD)
Razor Leaf (Grass, 5.0 DPT, 2.0 EPT, 1.0 CD)
So the few times I have seen Roserade show up in PvP, it's been with Razor Leaf. It hits harder than (non-Shadow) Victreebel and has some decent charge moves too. (More on those in a moment.) But what Roserade has going for it that many prospective Razor Leafers don't is a very good Poison fast move as well. Poison Jab is actually the best Poison has got, and a very good PvP move overall, with average damage output combined with above average energy generation. Most moves roughly even out to a 3 overall between DPT and EPT (something like 2.5 for one and 3.5 for the other, or 4 for one and 2 for the other, that sort of thing). To have one that exceeds that is always nice. We'll be looking at Jab again as we move ahead in the analysis.
But for the moment, the move to highlight is the new one: Bullet Seed. It turns Roserade into quite a different Pokémon, shifting from dealing heavy fast move damage to one that relies much more on spamming charge moves. So it's nice that it gets a new, super spammy one to pair with it. Let's see what we've got to work with....
Charge Moves:
Weather Ball (Fire)ᴱ (Fire, 60 damage, 35 energy)
Sludge Bomb (Poison, 80 damage, 50 energy)
Grass Knot (Grass, 90 damage, 50 energy)
Dazzling Gleam (Fairy, 110 damage, 70 energy)
Solar Beam (Grass, 150 damage, 80 energy)
So paired with Bullet Seed, the other new move is super spammy Fire Weather Ball. This immediately draws comparisons to the already exisiting Sunshine version of Cherrim, who has the same moves and has made some noise in GBL and Silph Arena Cups, and is on the verge of (I believe) making a lot of noise in Love Cup. So let's start there: comparing the two.
Cherrim is only really viable in Great League, as it tops out just north of 2000 CP at Level 40, and doesn't even reach 2350 CP if pushed all the way up to Level 51. So our comparison will be at GL level. Putting them side by side, Cherrim has much more desirable stats for PvP, having roughly equivalent (though still slightly higher) Defense to Roserade but 30 more HP on average. Roserade, by contrast, has 20-25 more Attack strength. Cherrim also lacks a Poison (or any other) subtyping, and thus loses the resistances Roserade has to Fighting and Fairy, and its resistance to Grass is just a single one as opposed to Roserade's double. Cherrim is not weak to Psychic damage like Roserade is, but is instead weak to Poison and Bug moves, and resists Ground (unlike Roserade who takes neutral damage from Ground). Got all that? Some of it will be important in understanding what they handle differently, which we'll look at... right now!
So, again sticking with Great League, here are the comps:
All that said, Cherrim has a slightly longer list of wins, and most of what it wins it does so with enough left over to get in some good hits on whatever opposing Pokémon steps up next. Despite what logic would dictate, while Cherrim takes neutral damage from Fighting and Roserade resists, it is Cherrim that holds up better against many Counter users. Cherrim is also superior against Psychics (which prey on Roserade's Poison side) and Grounds (escaping with MUCH more life left over than Roserade) and has high enough bulk to outlast other bulky opposition like Registeel and Meganium. Roserade's advantages are outracing the Mud Boys, most prominent Ghosts, and Umbreon for good measure.
End of the day, in a direct Bullet Seed/Weather Ball/Grass charge move comparison, despite having a much better suited Grass charge move, Roserade just can't quite keep up with Cherrim, but does enough that it may fit some teams better.
There is one more very direct comparison we can make too, as both Roserade and Cherrim also have Fairy move Dazzling Gleam as part of their moveset. They both want to keep Weather Ball for sure, so Gleam has to slot in over their Grass charge moves and turns them into more generalists than true Grasses. But I have personally run a BS/WBF/DG Cherrim with pretty good success in GBL for a while now, so I think it's worth at least a quick look here.
End odf the day, though, while Gleam offers each a couple nice niches, it's pretty clear that Grass Knot/Solar Beam are better and more impactful moves overall.
That's about where the story ends with Cherrim... but it's just beginning with Roserade. Let's look at some of its other unique move options in Great League... and beyond.
Sticking with BS/WBF, there is one more coverage move that Roserade has to offer: Sludge Bomb, with STAB! It's biggest contribution is probably no surprise: beating the prominent Charmers Wigglytuff and Clefable by a safe margin. It also beats Meganium and Shiftry, and provides an alternative but still very effective way to hold onto a big win over Azumarill. While those results are quite significant and will surely lead to a Sludge Bomb/WBF monster emerging in future Cups or perhaps even in open GBL, there is an equally significant cost: Roserade no longer beats any of the aforementioned Ghosts except Haunter (Froslass, Jellicent, Sableye), has no real shot against any notable Fighter, and no longer beats Umbreon, Diggersby, Whiscash, or Lapras, to name a few big ones. That may still be okay on the right team and/or in the right meta (it would give Roserade an extremely solid anti-meta role in Love Cup, for example, were it eligible), but generally it would appear you'll still want Grass Knot more for the sheer number of varied wins it leads to.
But wait a minute... what if we flipped it around the other way? What if we keep Grass Knot, but still get Poison damage too... from Poison Jab? 🤔 In this configuration, Roserade gives up Ghosts (as it did with Sludge Bomb... and yes, including Haunter this time), as well as Galarian Stunfisk, Swampert, Lapras, and Diggersby due to them resisting Poison and/or taking super effective damage from Bullet Seed, and also loses Abomasnow and Umbreon due to the degrade in energy generation (AKA less Weather Balls). And I know that all sounds bad... but there's good there too, I promise! Roserade basically gives up some of its versatility to become a more dedicated Grass and Fairy slayer. Look at the gains: Venusaur, Meganium, Shiftry, Tropius (and that's with Air Slash!), and Wigglytuff. All now solid wins. As bonuses, PJ Roserade can also beat down DDeoxys, Shadow Machamp, Obstagoon, and Galvantula too. Perhaps you look at that and conclude that what it gives up is too much for those gains to counterbalance... and in open Great League, I might be inclined to agree. But in Cup formats that feature Grasses and/or Fairies, perhaps with Fighters mixed in too? Poison Jab Roserade is looking pretty spicy now in that sort of environment. And Cherrim cannot imitate THAT kind of performance.
Okay, I think that finally about covers it for Great League. In brief, it's a slightly worse Cherrim overall, but does enough unique things that I think there is room for both... and Roserade has a wider variety of moves that could make it a little more troublesome for the uninformed. Poison Jab Roserade in particular has some nice potential in the right format.
But Roserade, unlike Cherrim, is not limtied to Great League play. How does it fare in the bigger badder leagues? Let's take a spin through them and see!
And there we go... I think we're done, making this officially my FOURTH major article in the last six days. (Shadow Pokémon analysis, two massive "Nifty Or Thrifty" meta/budget analysis articles, and now this!) Whew. I hope this extensive look proved helpful to you and helps you understand where to focus your efforts during this unusual Community Day. Good luck, and good hunting. May all your shinies have good PvP IVs!
Until next time (which may be a few days after all the writing this week! 🥴), you can always find me on Twitter with near-daily PvP analysis nuggets or Patreon with its tie-in Discord server you can access to get straight through to me for personalized answers to your questions.
Continued thanks to my PvP friends, local and around the world, who have lent their own ideas and suggestions over the last nearly two years of PvP play, and helped teach me to be a better player and student of the game. And I don't say it enough anymore, but particular thanks to my friend u/Empoleon_Dynamite over at PvPoke.com for making all of my analysis possible and happily collaborating and brainstorming on so many articles over the years. He has his own thoughts on Roserade that I encourage you all to check out as well.
And thank you for reading... I appreciate your attention and encouragement. Catch you next time, and good luck out there!
submitted by JRE47 to TheSilphArena [link] [comments]

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